21 Aug · 17:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1746
FormWLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Moravec
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1624
FormWLWWW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+122
H2H33-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-19)