21 Aug · 18:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1555
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Krupnik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1564
FormWLLWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Skulina🌟Skulina stays under total as underdog 71% (14)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.