21 Aug · 11:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1594
2-3Final setsGola won
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1549
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Stapor at 57%. The actual result was Pawel Gola 2-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Gola favoured — closing 1.32
Set handicap
Gola −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Gola −7.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Stapor is favoured to win, below means Pawel Gola.
▲ Dawid Staporpre 54% → final 11%
Pawel Gola ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsGola recovered from 16%72 points · 5 games