21 Aug · 16:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1491
FormLWLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Krenek
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1610
FormLWWWW
40%
60%
🔥 Underdog lean · Cizek🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (75)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
19%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+119
H2H12-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-5)