21 Aug · 22:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ZV
🇨🇿Zbynek Vyskocil
ELO 1493
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vich
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1501
FormWWLWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vyskocil🌟Vich rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (63)
Fair odds · Vich
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H67-79
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.