21 Aug · 18:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
T2
🇨🇿Tomas Beran 2000
ELO 1574
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kucera
MK
🇨🇿Martin Kucera
ELO 1583
FormLWWWL
49%
51%
🌟2000 covers set handicap as underdog 71% (14)
Fair odds · Kucera
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.