21 Aug · 17:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jonas Kulveit
ELO 1434
FormWWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Tichy
DT
🇨🇿Dominik Tichy
ELO 1521
FormLLLWL
43%
57%
🌟Kulveit goes over total as underdog 71% (21)
Fair odds · Tichy
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)