21 Aug · 21:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1501
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1554
FormLWWWW
46%
54%
🌟Vich covers set handicap as underdog 65% (85)
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.