21 Aug · 21:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1502
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Reska
KP
🇨🇿Kamil Przeczek
ELO 1440
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
🌟Reska stays under total as favourite 63% (57)
Fair odds · Reska
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)