21 Aug · 21:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1657
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vorisek
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1728
FormWLLWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kadavy
Fair odds · Vorisek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H28-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-18)