21 Aug · 20:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1624
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Chaloupka
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1564
FormWLLWL
55%
45%
🌟Krupnik covers set handicap as underdog 65% (65)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H17-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-14)