21 Aug · 21:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1434
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Przeczek
KP
🇨🇿Kamil Przeczek
ELO 1440
FormLLLLL
49%
51%
🌟Przeczek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (20)
Fair odds · Przeczek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.