21 Aug · 17:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1485
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vodal
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1469
FormLLLWL
51%
49%
🌟Vodal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (84)
Fair odds · Vodal
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H31-43
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.