21 Aug · 22:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1344
FormLLLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1554
FormLWWWW
33%
67%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+210
H2H102-74
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+210)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (102-74)