21 Aug · 22:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1657
FormLLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jicha
DJ
🇨🇿David Jicha
ELO 1715
FormWWLWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Jicha
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)