21 Aug · 18:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PK
🇨🇿Pawel Kos
ELO 1512
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Zapala
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1569
FormWWLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Zapala
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 64% · 1.57· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H42-45
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)