22 Aug · 12:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1466
FormWLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Knazik
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1574
FormWLWLW
41%
59%
🌟Knazik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (118)
Fair odds · Knazik
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H25-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-23)