22 Aug · 13:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1475
FormWWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sebl
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1387
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Sebl
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H22-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-11)