22 Aug · 07:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1737
FormLWLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Moravec
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1552
FormWLLWL
65%
35%
🌟Kleprlik covers set handicap as underdog 64% (33)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+185
H2H35-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+185)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-27)