22 Aug · 13:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pribyl
ELO 1590
FormLWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pribyl
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1517
FormWLLLL
56%
44%
🌟Vitasek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (69)
Fair odds · Pribyl
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H7-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-6)