22 Aug · 13:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1576
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mrowetz
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1517
FormWLLLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vitasek🌟Vitasek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (69)
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H3-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)