22 Aug · 14:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1483
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sevecek
JS
🇨🇿Jan Sevecek
ELO 1537
FormLWWWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jancak🌟Jancak covers set handicap as underdog 70% (56)
Fair odds · Sevecek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.