22 Aug · 13:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1466
FormWLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Cousin
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1387
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Cousin
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H16-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-7)