22 Aug · 14:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇨🇿Vlastimil Kaisler
ELO 1331
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kaisler
RJ
🇨🇿Radim Jaros
ELO 1306
FormLLLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Kaisler
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.