22 Aug · 09:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1737
FormLWLWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Moravec
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1517
FormWLLLL
67%
33%
🌟Vitasek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (69)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+220
H2H14-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+220)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-11)