22 Aug · 09:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1478
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Muhlhauser
ZM
🇨🇿Zdenek Muhlhauser
ELO 1538
FormWWWLL
45%
55%
🌟Muhlhauser rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (30)
Fair odds · Muhlhauser
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)