22 Aug · 14:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1552
FormWLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pribyl
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pribyl
ELO 1590
FormLWLWL
47%
53%
🌟Kleprlik covers set handicap as underdog 64% (33)
Fair odds · Pribyl
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H10-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.