22 Aug · 09:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RV
🇨🇿Radek Vosyka
ELO 1575
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vosyka
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1555
FormWWWLW
52%
48%
🌟Lovl covers set handicap as underdog 68% (19)
Fair odds · Vosyka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H13-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.