22 Aug · 11:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZM
🇨🇿Zdenek Muhlhauser
ELO 1538
FormWWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Muhlhauser
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1489
FormLWWWL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vodal🌟Vodal covers set handicap as underdog 71% (73)
Fair odds · Muhlhauser
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.