22 Aug · 12:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1517
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kleprlik
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1552
FormWLLWL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vitasek🌟Kleprlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (34)
Fair odds · Kleprlik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H7-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.