22 Aug · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1478
FormWWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Rein
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1387
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Rein
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+91
H2H19-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)