22 Aug · 13:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RJ
🇨🇿Radim Jaros
ELO 1306
FormLLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Cyrus
MC
🇨🇿Miroslav Cyrus
ELO 1375
FormLWLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Cyrus
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)