22 Aug · 12:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MC
🇨🇿Miroslav Cyrus
ELO 1375
FormLWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Cyrus
VK
🇨🇿Vlastimil Kaisler
ELO 1331
FormLWLLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Cyrus
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.