22 Aug · 15:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1387
FormLLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Knazik
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1574
FormWLWLW
35%
65%
🌟Knazik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (118)
Fair odds · Knazik
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+187
H2H44-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+187)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-34)