22 Aug · 13:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇨🇿Michal Szostak
ELO 1459
FormLWLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Szostak
PK
🇨🇿Piotr Kedzierski
ELO 1341
FormWWLWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Szostak
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+118
H2H12-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-10)