22 Aug · 16:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VN
🇨🇿Vaclav Nadvornik
ELO 1663
FormLLWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Nadvornik
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1517
FormWWWLL
62%
38%
🌟Nadvornik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (24)
Fair odds · Nadvornik
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+146
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+146)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)