22 Aug · 17:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1570
FormLLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mrowetz
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1576
FormWLLWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mrowetz🌟Macurak covers set handicap as underdog 67% (43)
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H9-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.