22 Aug · 17:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1568
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Mrowetz
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1576
FormWLLWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sedlacek🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 77% (22)
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H4-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.