22 Aug · 20:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1496
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Cizek
RS
🇨🇿Radovan Solle
ELO 1468
FormLLLWW
52%
48%
🌟Cizek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (42)
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.