22 Aug · 18:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1517
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kulisek
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1544
FormLWWWL
48%
52%
🌟Kulisek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (95)
Fair odds · Kulisek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H33-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.