22 Aug · 20:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
FK
🇨🇿Filip Karel
ELO 1700
FormWWWWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Karel
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Ruzicka
ELO 1510
FormWWWWL
65%
35%
🌟Karel goes over total as favourite 67% (24)
Fair odds · Karel
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+190
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+190)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)