22 Aug · 23:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1517
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vonasek
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1493
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
🌟Vonasek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (74)
Fair odds · Vonasek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H48-61
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.