22 Aug · 17:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1538
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jr
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1543
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (73)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.