22 Aug · 18:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇨🇿Michal Moravec
ELO 1526
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sedlacek
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1572
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Sedlacek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H3-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.