22 Aug · 18:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VN
🇨🇿Vaclav Nadvornik
ELO 1663
FormLLWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Nadvornik
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1544
FormLWWWL
60%
40%
🌟Nadvornik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (24)
Fair odds · Nadvornik
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+119
H2H13-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-2)