22 Aug · 17:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VN
🇨🇿Vaclav Nadvornik
ELO 1652
FormLLLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Nadvornik
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1493
FormLLLLL
63%
37%
🌟Nadvornik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (24)
Fair odds · Nadvornik
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+159
H2H42-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+159)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-17)