22 Aug · 21:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TB
🇨🇿Tomas Bartik
ELO 1672
FormLWLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Bartik
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Ruzicka
ELO 1510
FormWWWWL
63%
37%
🌟Bartik goes over total as favourite 68% (31)
Fair odds · Bartik
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~79 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+162
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+162)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)