23 Aug · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1646
FormLWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vorisek
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1740
FormWWWLW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stusek🌟Stusek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (108)
Fair odds · Vorisek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+94
H2H183-154
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (183-154)