23 Aug · 13:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1492
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sindler
MJ
🇨🇿Michal Janik
ELO 1419
FormLWLLW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Janik🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (79)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)