23 Aug · 07:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1738
FormWWWLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Moravec
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1508
FormLWLWW
68%
32%
🌟Vitasek covers set handicap as underdog 64% (70)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+230
H2H15-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+230)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-11)